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Remember the Drought of 2011?

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    brian1208
    brian1208 e2 Member 1110268 forum postsbrian1208 vcard United Kingdom12 Constructive Critique Points
    23 Aug 2011 - 11:40 AM

    Watching the rain fall and thinking of the various weather alerts we have recently I suddenly remembered this was supposed to be "The Year of the Drought"
    as here

    Sounds like they were about as accurate as when they predicted the recent "Barbecue Summer" - its good to see the Weather Man's new computer is working as expected Tongue


    Quote: Met office unveils UK's most powerful supercomputer (but admits it may still get weather forecasts WRONG)

    Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-1185629/Met-office-unveils-UKs-powerful-supercomputer-admits-weather-forecasts-WRONG.html#ixzz1VqbGZ3s2

    (I'm getting sticky keys on my keyboard and it keeps leaving letters out Sad )

    Last Modified By brian1208 at 23 Aug 2011 - 11:41 AM
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    23 Aug 2011 - 11:40 AM

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    Ade_Osman
    Ade_Osman e2 Member 114521 forum postsAde_Osman vcard England36 Constructive Critique Points
    23 Aug 2011 - 12:04 PM

    As I'm always saying to the wife Bri, if you want an up to date weather forecast, look out the window!

    Ade Smile

    Coleslaw
    Coleslaw e2 Member 913403 forum postsColeslaw vcard Wales28 Constructive Critique Points
    23 Aug 2011 - 12:06 PM


    Quote: if you want an up to date weather forecast, look out the window!

    Yea but no but yea but....you can't look out the window for weather forecast in Scotland, can you? Tongue

    keithh
    keithh e2 Member 1023038 forum postskeithh vcard Wallis and Futuna33 Constructive Critique Points
    23 Aug 2011 - 12:10 PM

    You can if you live in Scotland

    User_Removed
    23 Aug 2011 - 12:23 PM

    I had a good howl one morning about a month ago when they interviewed someone from the Met Office who made the bold statement that they are now able to forecast the week ahead with "85% accuracy". I nearly cut myself shaving!!!

    brian1208
    brian1208 e2 Member 1110268 forum postsbrian1208 vcard United Kingdom12 Constructive Critique Points
    23 Aug 2011 - 12:37 PM


    Quote: As I'm always saying to the wife Bri, if you want an up to date weather forecast, look out the window!

    Ade Smile

    Sounds like our local method :

    "If you can see the Isle of Wight its going to rain"

    "If you can't, then it is raining"! Grin

    What makes me smile is often they can't even explain what happened to the weather after the event (a bit like Economic Forecasting really, another set of random and chaotic events)

    steveplant
    steveplant  1156 forum posts2 Constructive Critique Points
    8 Oct 2011 - 9:49 AM

    The UK as a whole might not have had a drought but some areas have. One of my local nature reserves is made up of abandoned gravel pits, in previous years even with hot dry summers even the shallow pits have held some water and the boardwalks over marshy areas have been needed. This year only the deepest lagoons have retained water and they are down by several feet.

    It was one of the best sites in the area for dragonflies, damselflies and fungi. Common Darters used to be lined up like fighter planes on a military airfield, last week there was one and no more than a dozen fungi to be found on the whole site.

    One of the shallower lagoons used to have Water Ladybird, Water Measurers, Water Scorpion and numerous other species, it has been just a muddy mess since March, all of the above and everything else gone.

    Another favourite location is a moorland above Chatsworth Estate. For all it is high ground there were always small peaty pools with water beetles and Black Darters, a moorland specialist, amongst other things. Every single pool has dried out and has been dry since early spring. Areas that were wet and spongly have huge dry cracks. The Black Darter is probably locally extinct on that moor and any surrounding moors that have suffered the same fate.

    Up here, (Derbyshire), butterfly and moth numbers have on the whole, crashed, a couple of species had large increases probably due to the hot dry spring, but most have diminished some almost gone completely.

    I have a couple of friends who like walking around the local reservoirs, they were telling me last week that every reservoir for miles and miles around is not just low but seriously low.

    My best friend is a farmer, they waited as late as possible to cut the grass for hay as it was so short and sparse, when they finally cut it, it was barely worth doing. They can usually get two silage cuts, they got one, again it was less than normal. They are going to have to buy more hay in, the price is likely to be high due to a shortage. It could put some farmers out of business, it could also put food prices up. There is a serious impact on people as well as nature here.

    If you have escaped the drought count yourselves lucky, the drought might not have been over the whole of the UK, but it has happened and where it has occured it has had a serious impact, possibly for years to come, possibly forever for some species such as the Black Darter.

    Steve

    cambirder
    cambirder  107202 forum posts England
    8 Oct 2011 - 1:49 PM


    Quote: As I'm always saying to the wife Bri, if you want an up to date weather forecast, look out the window!

    How does that work exactly, bearing in mind a forecast is a prediction of future not current weather conditions.

    adrian_w
    adrian_w e2 Member 73355 forum postsadrian_w vcard Scotland4 Constructive Critique Points
    8 Oct 2011 - 4:02 PM


    Quote: if you want an up to date weather forecast, look out the window!
    Yea but no but yea but....you can't look out the window for weather forecast in Scotland, can you? Tongue

    Don't need to look out, you just know it's going to rain at some point in the day. (so far today from 6am to the present!)

    tomcat
    tomcat e2 Member 95916 forum poststomcat vcard United Kingdom15 Constructive Critique Points
    17 Oct 2011 - 9:03 PM

    I drive over Pitsford water at the moment, work & back & it is nearly at record lows.
    There has been no appreciative rainfall in the East/South Midlands for months

    We also had a barbecue summerGrin

    Last Modified By tomcat at 17 Oct 2011 - 9:05 PM
    Jay44
    Jay44  81443 forum posts Wales
    27 Oct 2011 - 10:26 AM

    We have had four washed out summers in a row here in South Wales.

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